Seasonal ensemble prediction with a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
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چکیده
Seasonal prediction with dynamical models of El Niño events, and the associated changes in the Southern Oscillation and atmospheric circulation, has been an area of intense interest and effort for more than two decades. The early experimental forecasts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events (Cane and Zebiak 1985; Cane et al. 1986; Zebiak and Cane 1987; Battisti and Hirst 1989; Kleeman 1993) used simple dynamical prognostic models of the equatorial ocean coupled to a single-layer linear diagnostic atmospheric model. Schopf and Suarez (1988) studied ENSO vacillations with Seasonal ensemble prediction with a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
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تاریخ انتشار 2010